Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.221051 0.256089 0.294874 0.340994 0.394352 0.454163 0.526323
2025-08-03 0.165197 0.211860 0.268932 0.343892 0.439829 0.558614 0.717079
2025-08-10 0.132674 0.182546 0.247898 0.339854 0.466064 0.633481 0.872955
2025-08-17 0.108400 0.157944 0.226619 0.328834 0.477356 0.685763 1.001341
2025-08-24 0.095843 0.146758 0.220856 0.336648 0.513429 0.773888 1.188279
2025-08-31 0.084412 0.135121 0.212203 0.338020 0.538797 0.847799 1.361675
2025-09-07 0.075936 0.126575 0.206669 0.342708 0.568743 0.930753 1.557635
2025-09-14 0.066623 0.115287 0.195133 0.335832 0.578510 0.981757 1.706686
2025-09-21 0.059573 0.106761 0.186889 0.333032 0.594069 1.043040 1.878980
2025-09-28 0.054555 0.101054 0.182607 0.336264 0.619935 1.123979 2.094070
2025-10-05 0.052205 0.099786 0.185848 0.353092 0.671693 1.255614 2.415443
2025-10-12 0.049335 0.097165 0.186250 0.364546 0.714520 1.375155 2.727416
2025-10-19 0.046455 0.094268 0.185966 0.374973 0.757233 1.500406 3.068034
2025-10-26 0.042989 0.089806 0.182186 0.378131 0.786116 1.602387 3.375329
2025-11-02 0.039121 0.084035 0.175116 0.373690 0.798858 1.673266 3.626620
2025-11-09 0.034963 0.077147 0.164968 0.361568 0.793982 1.707190 3.803203
2025-11-16 0.033137 0.075049 0.164559 0.370163 0.834349 1.840256 4.210620
2025-11-23 0.030882 0.071725 0.161133 0.371672 0.859161 1.942224 4.560227
2025-11-30 0.029127 0.069321 0.159438 0.376828 0.892668 2.066761 4.975819
2025-12-07 0.026612 0.064852 0.152596 0.369266 0.895749 2.122467 5.235595
2025-12-14 0.024649 0.061468 0.147882 0.366186 0.909062 2.203202 5.565082
2025-12-21 0.023282 0.059382 0.145999 0.369741 0.938876 2.326245 6.013616
2025-12-28 0.022898 0.059709 0.149962 0.388249 1.007997 2.552219 6.749614